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(Non-GT)Atlanta Braves Baseball....new beginnings

My son told me the Braves won last night, 2-0. I said, "darn it". Especially with the Twins fighting for that potential top draft pick next June.
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Outfielder Ronnier Mustelier was outrighted by the Braves. He had received his first major league call-up for Atlanta at 31 years of age, but didn’t see any action. He owns a .300/.362/.399 slash over 357 plate appearances on the season at Triple-A Gwinnett. After leaving his native Cuba, Mustelier joined the Yankees organization before the 2011 season, then played mostly in Mexico and Venezuela last year after New York cut him loose.
 
trying to find a positive spin on the Braves this year is a struggle. Even people trying to explain the rebuilding plan are lost at times. Too many decisions/actions that don't seem to be adding up to much.
 
If they trade 5 young stars for Chris Sale, I would imagine Coppy lost his "Hart" and his mind.
Of course if the five turned out to be the right ones for Atlanta to surrender, we could forgive them.
 
Braves move Lucas Harrell and Dario Alvarez for Travis Demeritte.......

That the Braves were able to turn a pair of May additions into Demeritte is a fairly notable surprise. While the 21-year-old doesn’t rank among the game’s top 100 prospects or even the top 10 farmhands within the Texas organization, the former first-round pick entered the season rated 20th among Rangers prospects per MLB.com and 28th per Baseball America. He struggled last season and was hit with an 80-game PED suspension but has had a rebound year with Texas’ Class-A Advanced affiliate, batting .272/.352/.583 with 25 home runs and 13 stolen bases. MLB.com notes that he has more power than a typical second baseman but has long been far too aggressive at the plate. That hasn’t changed this year, as Demeritte has whiffed in more than a third of his plate appearances in Class-A in spite of his power.
 
Even as the Marlins reportedly make their pitch for Andrew Cashner, the team is continuing to look far and wide for their rotation needs, per Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald. He adds three more names that the club has asked about: Edinson Volquez of the Royals, Matt Shoemaker of the Angels, and Julio Teheran of the division-rival Braves. Nothing in the Miami system is off limits, per the report, including first baseman Josh Naylor and righty Luis Castillo — each of whom have been asked about quite frequently by other clubs, per Jackson. Rival clubs get the sense that the Marlins are “desperate” to bolster their rotation, ESPN.com’s Jerry Crasnick tweets, but it’s still not entirely clear how the team will make that happen given its thin farm. Of course, as the examples of Naylor and Castillo show, the system isn’t devoid of talent, but it would certainly sting to part with the organization’s best pieces, and it’s not at all clear that those players would be enough to score a quality, controllable arm.
 
Braves of the future:
-Watching two of Jenkins' starts have made me a believer, that he should at least make it as a long reliever. Two real good pitches.
-Folty has an arm, in time he will harness it.
-Ozzie Albies, Dansby Swanson are the middles of the future and sooner if not traded.
-Jace Peterson is a utility piece that has worthwhile value. Same for Adonis Garcia.
-Travis Demeritte could be a third baseman in time, with a glove, an arm and some pop.
-Mallex Smith can move, will learn to make more contact, o.k. as a corner outfielder with the arm/leather.
-Ronald Acuna, Kevin Maitan, Austin Riley, will all find an eventual place in the lineup.
-Mauricio Cabrera is the closer with heat.
-Mike Soroka, Lucas Sims, Joey Wentz are big time talents/arms of the near future.
-Wisler, Newcomb, Fried, Ian Anderson, Kolby Allard, Kyle Muller, Touki Toussaint will all compete for major league spots in this organization or in another as trade bait for position stars.
-Freeman, Tehran and Kemp(newly acquired for that troubling Olivera)are proven. Hopefully, Matt's hip holds together, he makes better contact and Atlanta can move Markakis at some point.
 
Buzzforlife said:
Braves move Lucas Harrell and Dario Alvarez for Travis Demeritte.......

That the Braves were able to turn a pair of May additions into Demeritte is a fairly notable surprise. While the 21-year-old doesn’t rank among the game’s top 100 prospects or even the top 10 farmhands within the Texas organization, the former first-round pick entered the season rated 20th among Rangers prospects per MLB.com and 28th per Baseball America. He struggled last season and was hit with an 80-game PED suspension but has had a rebound year with Texas’ Class-A Advanced affiliate, batting .272/.352/.583 with 25 home runs and 13 stolen bases. MLB.com notes that he has more power than a typical second baseman but has long been far too aggressive at the plate. That hasn’t changed this year, as Demeritte has whiffed in more than a third of his plate appearances in Class-A in spite of his power.
Click to expand...
sounds a lot like a former Braves second baseman...
 
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Before acquiring Matt Kemp, the Braves looked into a deal for outfielder Ryan Braun, Jon Heyman of FanRag Sports tweets. Braun, certainly, would have been the more intriguing addition, given that he has significantly out-produced Kemp this year, though presumably Milwaukee is much less interested in holding onto a big chunk of Braun’s salary to facilitate a deal. Atlanta GM John Coppolella acknowledged the importance of the financial component of the pact in recent comments, as Bowman reports. “We didn’t give up a draft pick, and we didn’t trade away any prospects,” he said. “So, we were able to stick with the plan that we had while still filling a major need for us with right-handed power.”

Right-handed reliever Jim Johnson still seems to be the likeliest Braves player to be traded, MLB.com’s Mark Bowman tweets. While the team would love to find a taker for shortstop Erick Aybar, though, there simply isn’t any interest in him, per the report.
 
Kemp on the surface looks like a good trade. I haven't typed that often too recently. He has considerable upside, but for him to really add value, he's got to be able to play LF. With Mallex/Inciarte in CF and Markakis in RF, this starts to look like a real OF now - with hitting still a little light. However, this takes them from 9 HR to 32 HR. That alone might be worth 4-5 wins right now, plus what is does for Freeman at the plate, with Kemp hitting behind him.

Kemp: 409 AB/ 54 R/ 107 H/ 23 HR/ 69 RBI/ .262 BA/ .285 OBP/ .774 OPS/ .989 FP
Smith: 169 AB/ 25 R/ 40 H/ 3 HR/ 23 RBI/ .237 BA/ .312 OBP/ .691 OPS/ .992 FP
Inciarte: 288 AB/ 35 R/ 72 H/ 1 HR/ 12 RBI/ .250 BA/ .312 OBP/ .632 OPS/ .982 FP
Markakis: 393 AB/ 40 R/ 104 H/ 5 HR/ 52 RBI/ .265 BA/ .345 OBP/ .714 OPS/ .986 FP
 
The Braves have added righty Julio Teheran to the DL as well. He is dealing with a lat strain that isn’t believed to be serious. Atlanta will obviously want to exercise plenty of caution in handling the injury, even if it isn’t particularly worrisome, as Teheran is a key piece of the organization’s rebuilding plans and there’s no need to rush him back.
 
The Braves picked up a game last night and now have a full 5 game lead on the Twins. Still have to keep an eye out on the Rays, Reds, and D'backs as well. But, looking good in a bad sort of way.
 
unusual game last night.

Braves starting a rookie pitcher, (not so unusual)
Braves pitcher gets down by 4 runs in the 1st inning (not that unusual)

Braves win 8-4 (pretty unusual this year)
 
Interestingly... just noticed that it looks like the Braves are 3-3 against the Cubs this season. Odd that a club over 30 games below .500 can play the best team in baseball 50/50.
 
stinger78 said:
Interestingly... just noticed that it looks like the Braves are 3-3 against the Cubs this season. Odd that a club over 30 games below .500 can play the best team in baseball 50/50.
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Small sampling for pro. baseball, 6 games. Now the larger one with the Marlins within the division, is more perplexing.

Tech defeating unbeaten at the time, F$U, for the only football win in 8 ACC contests. One game, anything can happen.
 
Buzzforlife said:
Small sampling for pro. baseball, 6 games. Now the larger one with the Marlins within the division, is more perplexing.

Tech defeating unbeaten at the time, F$U, for the only football win in 8 ACC contests. One game, anything can happen.
Click to expand...

Yeah.... I was not necessarily making the case for statistical significance. But presidential polls are done with <10K respondents to generalize 225M voting age adults - that sample is 4 thousandths of one percent. Whereas 6 out of 100 games is 6% of the sample. Though the baseball sample would only have 5 degree of freedom, which directly effects the t-value. Geeky response, I know, but you do have a point.
 
Statistical sampling doesn't take the size of the population into account. It takes on the amount of alpha and beta risk willing to take. That's the scientific view.

In truth, as I've told my students many times in the past, that's all nice and good, but in the real world, it most likely boils down to money and how much you can afford.

But, this is bordering on math and that's a board no-no I realize. Sorry.

:D
 
More trading than Wall Street......

The Marlins have acquired lefty reliever Hunter Cervenka from the Braves, Fan Rag’s Tommy Stokke tweets. The Marlins have announced that they’ve sent minor league infielder Anfernee Seymour and lefty Michael Mader to Atlanta.

The 26-year-old Cervenka slowly made his way through the Red Sox and Cubs systems after Boston drafted him in the 27th round in 2008. He briefly wound up in independent ball after being released by the Cubs last season, then signed a minor league deal with the Braves in the middle of the 2015 season. He made his big-league debut this season and has gotten good results in the big leagues despite a very high 6.1 BB/9, with a 3.18 ERA and 9.3 K/9 in 34 innings. He has solid velocity for a lefty, with a fastball that averages around 93 MPH, and a good slider that has helped him hold opposing lefties to just .143/.264/.242.

Cervenka should give the Marlins’ bullpen a second lefty to complement Mike Dunn. Marlins relievers have been slightly below average against southpaws this season, allowing them to hit .250/.342/.383.
 
Singles hitter...as high as "A" ball...

Anfernee Seymour
Anfernee J'Nero Seymour

Positions: Shortstop and Centerfielder
Bats: Both, Throws: Right
Height: 5' 11", Weight: 165 lb.

Born: June 24, 1995 in Nassau, Bahamas (Age 21.043)
High School: American Heritage HS (Delray Beach, FL)

Drafted by the Miami Marlins in the 7th round of the 2014 MLB June Amateur Draft from American Heritage HS (Delray Beach, FL).
 
Power arm, starter. Has now reached high "A". Has cut down on walks, over 100 innings, E.R.A. sliced down to 3.50.....

Michael Mader
Michael C. Mader

Position: Pitcher
Bats: Left, Throws: Left
Height: 6' 2", Weight: 195 lb.

Born: February 18, 1994 in Marianna, Florida, United States (Age 22.170)
School: Chipola College (Marianna, FL)

Drafted by the Miami Marlins in the 3rd round of the 2014 MLB June Amateur Draft from Chipola College (Marianna, FL).
 
While the Braves checked in on Brewers outfielder Ryan Braun before acquiring Matt Kemp from the Padres, Braun’s limited no-trade clause helped prevent talks from going anywhere. There are only six places the Brewers can trade Braun without his permission, and Atlanta isn’t one of them.
 
The Braves announced last night that they would select the contract of righty Roberto Hernandez, who will start tonight against the Cardinals. (They cleared a roster space earlier today when they shipped reliever Hunter Cervenka to the Marlins.) The pitcher formerly known as Fausto Carmona has pitched for two Triple-A teams this year, combining for a 4.60 ERA, 6.2 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9. He hasn’t yet appeared in the big leagues in 2016, but he appeared in all of the previous ten seasons, pitching to a career 4.58 ERA, 5.5 K/9, 3.4 BB/9 and 56.5% ground ball rate.
 
GTJT622 said:
Statistical sampling doesn't take the size of the population into account. It takes on the amount of alpha and beta risk willing to take. That's the scientific view.

In truth, as I've told my students many times in the past, that's all nice and good, but in the real world, it most likely boils down to money and how much you can afford.

But, this is bordering on math and that's a board no-no I realize. Sorry.

:D
Click to expand...

Agreed, on both counts.
 
Braves designate infielder/outfielder Brandon Snyder for assignment, reports David O’Brien of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution (Twitter link). Right-hander Madison Younginer will come up from Triple-A Gwinnett to take his roster spot.
 
The Braves have claimed right-hander Chaz Roe off waivers from the Orioles, according to Jerry Crasnick of ESPN.com (Twitter link).

Roe, whom Baltimore designated for assignment July 29, threw 9 2/3 innings with the club this season and allowed four earned runs on seven walks, also posting 11 strikeouts. Roe played a larger role for last year’s Orioles, with whom he amassed 41 1/3 frames, pitched to a 4.14 ERA, induced ground balls at a 52.1 percent clip, and logged solid strikeout (8.27) and walk rates (3.7) per nine innings. The 29-year-old previously saw major league action with the Diamondbacks and Yankees.
 
The Braves placed righty reliever Chris Withrow on the 15-day DL with an inflamed elbow, and the recently-claimed Chaz Roe will take Withrow’s spot on the roster. [Updated Braves depth chart at Roster Resource.] Withrow has posted a 3.31 ERA, 6.9 K/9 and 1.79 K/BB rate over 32 2/3 IP for Atlanta this season. He drew some trade attention from the Mets prior to the deadline, though this injury could scuttle the Braves’ chances of dangling Withrow as trade bait in the August waiver period.
 
Braves director of baseball operations Billy Ryan is one of the names under consideration in the Twins’ general manager search, USA Today’s Bob Nightengale reports (Twitter link). Despite being in his mid-thirties, Ryan has an extensive resume in the game, working in the Commissioner’s office as well as in the front offices of the Rangers, Indians and Diamondbacks, including four seasons as Arizona’s assistant GM. As Nightengale notes, Ryan is one of “several young executives” on the Twins’ radar as a replacement for former GM Terry Ryan (no relation).
 
I meant the outlay for a resource of information, with detail a manager might have.
Wasn't speaking literally of the talent. We know that is totally lacking by the 42-70 record.
 
The Braves have claimed right-hander Wilfredo Boscan off waivers from the Pirates, who released the 26-year-old last Thursday. Boscan joins Chaz Roe as the second righty Atlanta has plucked from the waiver wire since Sunday.

After spending parts of nine seasons in the minor leagues with the Rangers, Padres, Red Sox and Pirates, Boscan finally cracked the majors this year in Pittsburgh and tossed 15 1/3 innings in six appearances (one start), yielding 11 earned runs on 15 hits and seven walks. While those numbers are unsightly, Boscan has shown promise in the upper minors, including a 3.07 ERA in 126 Triple-A innings last year. Boscan has been effective in 84 Triple-A frames this year, too, with a 3.75 ERA, 5.5 K/9 and 1.5 BB/9. Overall, he has amassed 58 Triple-A appearances (45 starts) and registered a 3.86 ERA, 5.7 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9.
 
The Braves have signed free agent left-hander Brian Moran to a minor league contract, per a team announcement. Moran’s entire pitching resume with major league organizations has come as a member of the Mariners, though the Blue Jays selected the reliever in the fifth round of the 2013 Rule 5 draft and then traded him to the Angels for an international bonus slot. However, the Halos returned Moran to the Mariners a few months later after learning that he needed Tommy John surgery. Moran missed all of 2014 while recovering from the procedure, but he returned last year to log a total of 33 1/3 minor league innings with the Mariners. Most of those innings (30 1/3) came at the Double-A level, where Moran recorded a 3.56 ERA, 8.6 K/9 and 5.04 BB/9. The 27-year-old (and the brother of Astros third baseman Colin Moran) has pitched this season with the Bridgeport Bluefish of the independent Atlantic League.
 
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