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ZERO Respect from Bill Connelly SP+ Rankings

donnie5336

Well-Known Member
Gold Member
Jan 9, 2019
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Yikes. If you don't have ESPN+, I'll give you the gist of the ACC Breakdown:

I understand part of this prediction is because we have the 15th hardest schedule according to his predictions, but hoo buddy...

-Ranked 11th out of 17 ACC teams
-2024 Projections: SP+ -0.6 (63rd ranked), Offense 32.5 (32nd), Defense 33.2 (99th), Avg Wins 4.2, Conf Wins 2.3.
-2023 Final Rankings: SP+ 0.3 (65th), Offense 29.4 (50th), Defense 29.1 (86th), Wins 7, Conf Wins 5.

So we are expected to be better on offense but worse on defense with an expected 4 wins. As said before, we are ranked 11th of 17 by SP+, but check out these odds we are given also:

Odds to win ACC: 0.6% (12th)
Odds to win 11+ games: 0.0% (T12)
Odds to win 6+ games: 16.4% (16th)
Returning offensive production: 82.5% (8th nationally)

Eleven teams in the conference have over 65% chance of winning 6+ games, and we have 16.4% chance according to him. Look at these 11:

FSU 99.5%
Clemson 99.7%
Miami 98.6%
SMU 99.4% 😂
Louisville 92.8%
NCST 98.3%
Va Tech 97.3%
UNC 87.4% 😂
Cal 64.9% 😂
Syracuse 67.5% 😂
Duke 78.3% 😂

UNC ranks 99th in total returning production. They only have 44.4% of their returning offensive production, and now have scooter running the defense. Billy's numbers also apparently think SMU is magically now the 3rd-4th best team in the conference.
 
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