ACC 2024 preview: Can newcomers challenge Florida State and Clemson?
What's ahead in the ACC in 2024? We break down the best players and games and title odds in the league.
www.espn.com
Yikes. If you don't have ESPN+, I'll give you the gist of the ACC Breakdown:
I understand part of this prediction is because we have the 15th hardest schedule according to his predictions, but hoo buddy...
-Ranked 11th out of 17 ACC teams
-2024 Projections: SP+ -0.6 (63rd ranked), Offense 32.5 (32nd), Defense 33.2 (99th), Avg Wins 4.2, Conf Wins 2.3.
-2023 Final Rankings: SP+ 0.3 (65th), Offense 29.4 (50th), Defense 29.1 (86th), Wins 7, Conf Wins 5.
So we are expected to be better on offense but worse on defense with an expected 4 wins. As said before, we are ranked 11th of 17 by SP+, but check out these odds we are given also:
Odds to win ACC: 0.6% (12th)
Odds to win 11+ games: 0.0% (T12)
Odds to win 6+ games: 16.4% (16th)
Returning offensive production: 82.5% (8th nationally)
Eleven teams in the conference have over 65% chance of winning 6+ games, and we have 16.4% chance according to him. Look at these 11:
FSU 99.5%
Clemson 99.7%
Miami 98.6%
SMU 99.4% 😂
Louisville 92.8%
NCST 98.3%
Va Tech 97.3%
UNC 87.4% 😂
Cal 64.9% 😂
Syracuse 67.5% 😂
Duke 78.3% 😂
UNC ranks 99th in total returning production. They only have 44.4% of their returning offensive production, and now have scooter running the defense. Billy's numbers also apparently think SMU is magically now the 3rd-4th best team in the conference.