I did this last year so thought I'd revisit for anyone who has the time and interest to dig into it. Will start with QB and skill pos players and then do Lineman and back-7 defense later this week.
I pulled up the NFL offensive skill guys and where they ranked in 2023 production. Fantasy rankings, of course, for offense!
Did top 20 QB, RB, WR and top 10 TE.
Anyone with a 3-star (sub 5.8 rating from Rivals) is bolded.
OBSERVATIONS FROM 70 PLAYERS LISTED...
(11) 5 stars (6.1) for total % of 15.7%
(23) 4 stars (5.8-6.0) for total % of 32.9%
Remainder of 3 star and below made up 51.4% total of NFL elite
(23) 3 stars (5.5-5.7) for total of 32.9%
(13) 2 stars / UR (5.4 and below) for total% of 18.6%
Ten of the top 20 most productive QBs last year were 3 star or below coming out of HS.
Eleven of the top 20 most productive RBs last year were 3 star or below coming out of HS.
Thirteen of the top 20 most productive WRs last year were 4 star or above coming out of HS.
Eight of the top 10 most productive TEs last year were 3 star or below coming out of HS.
***Who the hell is / was scouting for Iowa State the past 10 or so years? They plucked Montgomery, Purdy and Hall out of the rough.
***If you need a TE just pick whomever is at Iowa. Sweet jeebus.
OFFENSE
QUARTERBACKS
J. Allen (Wyoming) – 2 star (5.4)
D. Prescott (Miss State) – 3 star (5.6)
J. Hurts (Bama / Oklahoma) - 4 star (5.8)
J. Love (Utah State) - 2 star (5.4)
L. Jackson (Louisville) – 4 star (5.8)
B. Purdy (Iowa State) - 3 star (5.5)
J. Goff (Cal) – 4 star (5.9)
P. Mahomes (Texas Tech) – 3 star (5.7)
B. Mayfield (Oklahoma) - UR walk on (5.0)
T. Tagovailoa (Bama) - 4 star (6.0)
C.J. Stroud (tOSU) - 4 star (6.0)
R. Wilson (NCST / Wisconsin) – 2 star (5.3)
T. Lawrence (Clemson) – 5 star (6.1)
S. Howell (UNC) - 4 star (5.9)
D. Carr (Fresno State) – 3 star (5.6)
M. Stafford (UGA) - 5 star (6.1)
J. Herbert (Oregon) – 3 star (5.6)
J. Fields (UGA / Ohio State) – 5 star (6.1)
G. Smith (WV) – 4 star (5.9)
J. Dobbs (Tennessee) - 3 star (5.7)
Avg rating = 5.72
6.5 SEC, 4.5 ACC, 3 Mntn West, 3 Big XII, 2 B1G, 1 PAC 12
WIDE RECEIVERS
C. Lamb (Oklahoma) - 4 star (6.0)
T. Hill (Garden City CC / Okla State / West Alabama) – 4 star (5.9)
A. St. Brown (USC) – 5 star (6.1)
M. Evans (TAM) – 3 star (5.5)
Puka Nacua (Wash / BYU) - 4 star (5.9)
D.J. Moore (MD) - 4 star (5.8)
A.J Brown (Ole Miss) – 4 star (6.0)
K. Allen (Cal) - 5 star (6.1)
D. Samuel (SC) - 3 star (5.7)
S. Diggs (MD) – 5 star (6.1)
N. Collins (Mich) - 4 star (5.9)
D. Adams (Fresno State) – 2 star (5.3)
J. Chase (LSU) – 4 star (6.0)
B. Aiyuk (Arizona State) – 2 star (5.4)
J. Reed (Western Mich / Mich State) - 2 star (5.4)
J. Meyers (NC State) - 2 star (5.4)
C. Ridley (Bama) - 5 star (6.1)
M. Pittman, Jr. (USC) - 4 star (6.0)
J. Addison (Pitt / USC) - 3 star (5.7)
DK Metcalf (Ole Miss) – 4 star (6.0)
Avg rating = 5.82
7 SEC, 6.5 B1G, 2.5 ACC, 1 PAC 12, 1 Big XII, 1 Mntn West, 0.5 MAC, 0.5 DII
RUNNING BACKS
C. McCaffrey (Stanford) – 4 star (5.9)
R. Mostert (Purdue) - 3 star (5.6)
T. Etienne, Jr. (Clemson) - 3 star (5.7)
B. Hall (Iowa State) - 3 star (5.7)
K. Williams (ND) - 3 star (5.7)
D. Henry (Bama) – 4 star (6.0)
J. Mixon (Oklahoma) – 5 star (6.1)
R. White (Nebraska-Kearney / Mt. San Antonio / AZ State) - 3 star (5.7)
J. Gibbs (GT / Bama) - 4 star (5.9)
B. Robinson (Texas) - 5 star (6.1)
J. Cook (UGA) - 5 star (6.1)
D. Montgomery (Iowa State) - 2 star (5.4)
S. Barkley (Penn State) - 4 star (5.9)
T. Pollard (Memphis) – 2 star (5.4)
I. Pacheco (Rutgers) - 3 star (5.6)
J. Conner (Pitt) – 3 star (5.7)
A. Kamara (Bama / Hutchinson CC / Tennessee) – 4 star (6.0)
J. Ford (Bama / Cincy) - 3 star (5.6)
K. Walker III (WF / Mich State) – 2 star (5.4)
N. Harris (Bama) – 5 star (6.1)
Avg rating = 5.78
7 SEC, 4 ACC, 3.5 B1G, 2 Big XII, 2 AAC, 1 Independent, 0.5 PAC-12
TIGHT ENDS
S. LaPorta (Iowa) - 3 star (5.5)
E. Engram (Ole Miss) – 3 star (5.6)
T. Kelce (Cincy) – 2 star (5.2)
T.J. Hockenson (Iowa) – 3 star (5.5)
G. Kittle (Iowa) – 3 star (5.5)
D. Njoku (Miami) - 3 star (5.6)
C. Kmet (ND) – 4 star (5.9)
J. Ferguson (Wisc) - 3 star (5.7)
T. McBride (Colorado St.) - 2 star (5.4)
D. Schultz (Stanford) – 4 star (5.9)
Avg rating = 5.58
4 B1G, 2 ACC, 1 SEC, 1 AAC, 1 Mntn West, 1 Independent
I pulled up the NFL offensive skill guys and where they ranked in 2023 production. Fantasy rankings, of course, for offense!
Did top 20 QB, RB, WR and top 10 TE.
Anyone with a 3-star (sub 5.8 rating from Rivals) is bolded.
OBSERVATIONS FROM 70 PLAYERS LISTED...
(11) 5 stars (6.1) for total % of 15.7%
(23) 4 stars (5.8-6.0) for total % of 32.9%
Remainder of 3 star and below made up 51.4% total of NFL elite
(23) 3 stars (5.5-5.7) for total of 32.9%
(13) 2 stars / UR (5.4 and below) for total% of 18.6%
Ten of the top 20 most productive QBs last year were 3 star or below coming out of HS.
Eleven of the top 20 most productive RBs last year were 3 star or below coming out of HS.
Thirteen of the top 20 most productive WRs last year were 4 star or above coming out of HS.
Eight of the top 10 most productive TEs last year were 3 star or below coming out of HS.
***Who the hell is / was scouting for Iowa State the past 10 or so years? They plucked Montgomery, Purdy and Hall out of the rough.
***If you need a TE just pick whomever is at Iowa. Sweet jeebus.
OFFENSE
QUARTERBACKS
J. Allen (Wyoming) – 2 star (5.4)
D. Prescott (Miss State) – 3 star (5.6)
J. Hurts (Bama / Oklahoma) - 4 star (5.8)
J. Love (Utah State) - 2 star (5.4)
L. Jackson (Louisville) – 4 star (5.8)
B. Purdy (Iowa State) - 3 star (5.5)
J. Goff (Cal) – 4 star (5.9)
P. Mahomes (Texas Tech) – 3 star (5.7)
B. Mayfield (Oklahoma) - UR walk on (5.0)
T. Tagovailoa (Bama) - 4 star (6.0)
C.J. Stroud (tOSU) - 4 star (6.0)
R. Wilson (NCST / Wisconsin) – 2 star (5.3)
T. Lawrence (Clemson) – 5 star (6.1)
S. Howell (UNC) - 4 star (5.9)
D. Carr (Fresno State) – 3 star (5.6)
M. Stafford (UGA) - 5 star (6.1)
J. Herbert (Oregon) – 3 star (5.6)
J. Fields (UGA / Ohio State) – 5 star (6.1)
G. Smith (WV) – 4 star (5.9)
J. Dobbs (Tennessee) - 3 star (5.7)
Avg rating = 5.72
6.5 SEC, 4.5 ACC, 3 Mntn West, 3 Big XII, 2 B1G, 1 PAC 12
WIDE RECEIVERS
C. Lamb (Oklahoma) - 4 star (6.0)
T. Hill (Garden City CC / Okla State / West Alabama) – 4 star (5.9)
A. St. Brown (USC) – 5 star (6.1)
M. Evans (TAM) – 3 star (5.5)
Puka Nacua (Wash / BYU) - 4 star (5.9)
D.J. Moore (MD) - 4 star (5.8)
A.J Brown (Ole Miss) – 4 star (6.0)
K. Allen (Cal) - 5 star (6.1)
D. Samuel (SC) - 3 star (5.7)
S. Diggs (MD) – 5 star (6.1)
N. Collins (Mich) - 4 star (5.9)
D. Adams (Fresno State) – 2 star (5.3)
J. Chase (LSU) – 4 star (6.0)
B. Aiyuk (Arizona State) – 2 star (5.4)
J. Reed (Western Mich / Mich State) - 2 star (5.4)
J. Meyers (NC State) - 2 star (5.4)
C. Ridley (Bama) - 5 star (6.1)
M. Pittman, Jr. (USC) - 4 star (6.0)
J. Addison (Pitt / USC) - 3 star (5.7)
DK Metcalf (Ole Miss) – 4 star (6.0)
Avg rating = 5.82
7 SEC, 6.5 B1G, 2.5 ACC, 1 PAC 12, 1 Big XII, 1 Mntn West, 0.5 MAC, 0.5 DII
RUNNING BACKS
C. McCaffrey (Stanford) – 4 star (5.9)
R. Mostert (Purdue) - 3 star (5.6)
T. Etienne, Jr. (Clemson) - 3 star (5.7)
B. Hall (Iowa State) - 3 star (5.7)
K. Williams (ND) - 3 star (5.7)
D. Henry (Bama) – 4 star (6.0)
J. Mixon (Oklahoma) – 5 star (6.1)
R. White (Nebraska-Kearney / Mt. San Antonio / AZ State) - 3 star (5.7)
J. Gibbs (GT / Bama) - 4 star (5.9)
B. Robinson (Texas) - 5 star (6.1)
J. Cook (UGA) - 5 star (6.1)
D. Montgomery (Iowa State) - 2 star (5.4)
S. Barkley (Penn State) - 4 star (5.9)
T. Pollard (Memphis) – 2 star (5.4)
I. Pacheco (Rutgers) - 3 star (5.6)
J. Conner (Pitt) – 3 star (5.7)
A. Kamara (Bama / Hutchinson CC / Tennessee) – 4 star (6.0)
J. Ford (Bama / Cincy) - 3 star (5.6)
K. Walker III (WF / Mich State) – 2 star (5.4)
N. Harris (Bama) – 5 star (6.1)
Avg rating = 5.78
7 SEC, 4 ACC, 3.5 B1G, 2 Big XII, 2 AAC, 1 Independent, 0.5 PAC-12
TIGHT ENDS
S. LaPorta (Iowa) - 3 star (5.5)
E. Engram (Ole Miss) – 3 star (5.6)
T. Kelce (Cincy) – 2 star (5.2)
T.J. Hockenson (Iowa) – 3 star (5.5)
G. Kittle (Iowa) – 3 star (5.5)
D. Njoku (Miami) - 3 star (5.6)
C. Kmet (ND) – 4 star (5.9)
J. Ferguson (Wisc) - 3 star (5.7)
T. McBride (Colorado St.) - 2 star (5.4)
D. Schultz (Stanford) – 4 star (5.9)
Avg rating = 5.58
4 B1G, 2 ACC, 1 SEC, 1 AAC, 1 Mntn West, 1 Independent
